In-orbit Environment and Effects Forecast

Welcome to the Spacecraft Operation - In-orbit environment and effects forecast service

Overview

The service “Spacecraft Operation - In-orbit environment and effects forecast” aims to provide an estimate for the near future of the space environment and its effects that could be experiences in regard to the operation of the spacecraft. To obtain a forecast of the space environment, the ESA Space Weather Service Network provides monitoring and forecasting of phenomena that can lead to potentially hazardous and sudden effects on spacecraft (e.g. magnetic storms, substorms, high-speed streams, solar energetic particle events, Earth-directed CMEs, meteor streams, and debris clouds). This continuous real-time monitoring and forecasting of the space weather environment provides the relevant information to take adequate decisions related to spacecraft operations to limit the impact of space weather. Real-time data allows the system to provide forecast of the effects on spacecraft operations of geomagnetic and ionospheric disturbances, as well as increased fluxes of particle radiation, meteoroids and space debris.

The service is intended for personnel such as spacecraft operators who need a forecast of space weather conditions and in-orbit effects for their current and future operations.

This service is implemented through a combination of products, tools and alerts which can be found in the sections below along with expert support provided by the teams constituting the ESA Space Weather Service Network. Should you require further guidance in the use of this service, or have specific questions about any aspects of the service presented here, don’t hesitate to contact the Helpdesk.

Read more about this service

Highlights

Announcements

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Products and Alerts

Products

Solar Activity: Forecasts
Solar Flares
CMEs
CME propagation forecast
Coronal Holes
Solar Disc Magnetic Fields
International Sunspot number
Sunspot Group Data

No product available in this category yet

Solar Filament Data

No product available in this category yet

10.7cm Solar Radio Flux (F10.7)
Solar EUV Index (S10.7)

No product available in this category yet

Solar EUV Index (E10.7)

No product available in this category yet

Solar FUV Index (M10.7)

No product available in this category yet

Solar X-ray & UV Index (Y10.7)

No product available in this category yet

Ionospheric Index (IG12)
Solar X-ray Flux

No product available in this category yet

Solar EUV Integrated Flux

No product available in this category yet

Solar UV Flux

No product available in this category yet

Interplanetary Medium at L1: (Near-) Real-time Measurements
Solar Wind Bulk Density

No product available in this category yet

Interplanetary Medium at L1: Forecasts
High Energy >10 MeV Protons
High Energy >10 MeV/nuc Ions

No product available in this category yet

1-10 MeV Protons

No product available in this category yet

1-10 MeV/nuc Ions

No product available in this category yet

0.03-1 MeV/nuc Ions

No product available in this category yet

2-50 MeV Solar Electrons

No product available in this category yet

30 keV-8 MeV Electrons

No product available in this category yet

Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Solar Wind Bulk Velocity
Solar Wind Bulk Density
Interplanetary Medium Outside L1: Forecasts
Solar Energetic Particle Events
Interplanetary Medium Data
Magnetospheric Environment: (Near-) Real-time Measurements
Thermal Ions Density and Temperature

No product available in this category yet

Magnetospheric Environment: Forecasts
Geomagnetic Storm Condition
Geomagnetic Indices Kp and K
Geomagnetic Index Ap and A
Geomagnetic Index Dst
High Energy >10 MeV Protons
High Energy >10 MeV/nuc Ions

No product available in this category yet

1-10 MeV Protons

No product available in this category yet

1-10 MeV/nuc Ions

No product available in this category yet

0.03-1 MeV/nuc Ions

No product available in this category yet

30 keV-8 MeV Electrons
Thermal and Supra-thermal Electron and Ion Energy Spectra
Thermal Ions Density and Temperature

No product available in this category yet

Thermospheric and Atmospheric Conditions: Forecasts
Vertical Total Electron Content Map
URSI Ionospheric Parameters
Neutral Density in Thermosphere
Neutral Wind Velocity in Thermosphere

No product available in this category yet

Scintillation Indices and Parameters
  • S4 and Err(S4) 6-hour forecast modelled maps
  • SigmaPhi and Err(SigmaPhi) 6-hour forecast modelled maps
  • S4 and Err(S4) 6h forecast modelled values at a given location
  • SigmaPhi and Err(SigmaPhi) 6h forecast modelled values at a given location
Atomic Oxygen Density

No product available in this category yet

Local External Magnetic Field on Ground
Neutral Density and Wind
Microparticle Environment: Forecasts
Micro Particle Flux

No product available in this category yet

Known Periods/events of Increased Microparticle Flux

No product available in this category yet

Spacecraft Effects and Anomalies: Forecasts
Spacecraft Radiation Monitors

No product available in this category yet

Orbital Data of Spacecraft Carrying Space Weather Instruments
Spacecraft Housekeeping Telemetry

No product available in this category yet

Deep Dielectric Charging
Surface Charging

No product available in this category yet

Floating Spacecraft Potential

No product available in this category yet

Alerts

All Quiet Alert
End-of-quiet Alert
Solar Flare Detection
Solar Flare Detection and Location
CME Onset
Halo CME Onset
Coronal Hole Notification

No product available in this category yet

CIR Alert
Solar Particle Event Onset
Geomagnetic Storm Warning / Solar Wind Shock Arrival
Geomagnetic Storm Onset
Ionospheric Disturbance Detection
Ground Level Enhancement Detection

Tools

User Manual

Throughout its existence, the Sun goes through various non-stationary active and non-equilibrium (often eruptive) processes; this can be broadly regarded as solar activity. The eruptive events caused by solar surface magnetic activity travel through the interplanetary medium and cause geomagnetic disturbances and other phenomena that may affect the functioning of spacecraft. For this reason, forecast of solar activity and its possible effects on spacecraft is essential for every spacecraft operator. From the Products and Tools sections, a range of products can be accessed that can be useful for spacecraft operators.

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Interruptions

❗Due to current unavailability of the SDO input data the performance of some products is affected.

SIDC Latest Solar flare forecast

Full product
Provided by: Solar Influences Data analysis Center

UNIGRAZ ESWF24

Full product
Provided by: Institute of Physics

Latest COMESEP Alerts

Full product
Provided by: BIRA-IASB Space Weather Services