Geomagnetic Indices Forecasting and Ionospheric Nowcasting Tools
Instituto di Fisica dello Spazio Interplanetario
Ionospheric Effects & Activity Forecast
Service for the prediction of geomagnetic indices (Dst
index) and nowcasting of FoF2.
Link to Project WebSite
GIFINT shall develop two tools.
The first tool will provide the users state of the art forecasting, one
hour ahead, of geomagnetic indices, Dst and AE, based on L1 ACE Solar
Wind data. Such forecasting will be made using Artificial Neural
Network techniques and several such algorithms will be used and
compared. The Dst index calculation permits the forecast of large
geomagnetic disturbances which have an impact on ionospheric conditions
and ultimately on radio propagation.
The second tool, in a complementary way, is devoted to the nowcasting
of ionospheric conditions in the middle latitudes over Europe with
particular emphasis on radio propagation. The method that will be
applied is based on the real-time update of the Simplified Ionospheric
Regional Model (SIRM) using autoscaled ionospheric parameters from four
real-time digisondes distributed uniformly in Europe, to nowcast the
real time maximum electron density of the ionosphere (foF2) as a
function of latitude and longitude. Emphasis will be given on the
evaluation of the mapping results during periods of enhanced
GIFINT will also perform a series of post event analysis studies,
comparing case by case the performance of the two specific tools
relative to the user needs and the benefits.
- TELEDIFE: Direzione generale delle telecomunicazioni ,
dell'informatica e delle tecnologie avanzate is a unit of the italian
Ministry of Defense, made up of sub-units from the italian Army, Air
Force and Navy, which deals with advanced technology.
- Dipartimento della Protezione Civile (Grandi Eventi
Infrastrutture e Logistica) della Presidenza del Consiglio (i.e. The
italian civil protection authority, which deals with natural disasters,
- Istituto di Fisica dello Spazio Interplanetario (IFSI), C.N.R.,
- Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Roma, Italy
- Università de lAquila, lAquila, Italy
- Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Didcot, U.K.
- National Observatory of Athens, Greece
Contact / Manager
Dr. Ermanno Amata