ESA Workshop on Space Weather

11-13 November 1998
ESTEC, Noordwijk, The Netherlands

Organised by the
ESA Space Environments and Effects Analysis Section (ESA TOS-EMA)

Introduction  

As space missions are becoming more technically sophisticated, they are increasing in sensitivity to the space environment. Modelling of the dynamics of the space environment with the use of data, known as "Space Weather", is a rapidly growing field world-wide. At the moment European Space Weather activities are fragmented in different groups and European-wide initiatives are in an embryonic state. Progress in space environment analysis is expected from extensive collaborative efforts with near real-time data from spacecraft, ground-based and theoretical simulations with the aim of establishing predictive systems relating the cause (solar activity) to the effect on technological systems and human activity. At the same time it has become evident for the scientific community that it also needs input from potential users of future Space Weather services.

As a support unit, ESA's Space Environments and Effects Analysis Section is particularly concerned with how the Space Weather concept can lead to products which enhance the performance and reliability of space systems.

Workshop Goals, Topics and Organisation

Thus there are two goals of this Space Weather workshop. The first one is to investigate at what stage the different European groups are at and how best to co-ordinate efforts to provide the best services for potential users. The other goal is to put together a global picture concerning all scientific, technological, economical and environmental issues concerning Space Weather with the emphasis placed on defining potential user requirements of European Space Weather services.

The workshop will be held in plenary sessions based on invited talks and contributed posters covering a wide range of topics relevant to Space Weather:

• Present and future User Requirements (scientific,technical,commercial, business/insurance,..).
• Data availability (space-borne and ground-based).
• Definition of an ALERT situation (short-term, long-term ..).
• Modelling of the space environment.
• Development of new procedures to protect against hazards in space.
• Co-ordination of different organisations to optimise results.
• What is the future for Space Weather research?

The first two days of this workshop will be held in plenary sessions based on invited review talks and contributed posters. At the end of the second day working groups will be formed and the final day will be dedicated to these working groups (discussion in the morning and a summary of the results presented in the afternoon).

The invited review talks, summaries of the working groups and posters will be published in the proceedings. The proceedings will be published within 2 months of the workshop.

Information to Authors

Authors are reminded to send in their paper before the workshop to the conference secretariat or hand it over to the registration desk during the workshop. Authors of review talks are expected to submit a paper of maximum 8 pages A4. Poster authors are allowed a maximum of 4 pages A4.

For more information concerning your submitted abstract, please see the Proceedings.

Scientific Advisory Committee

Local Organising Committee

• Crosby, N. (co-ordinator)
  Tel.: +31 71 5653567
  Fax: +31 71 5655420
  E-mail: ncrosby@wm.estec.esa.nl

• Daly, E. (chairman)
• Hilgers, A.

Space Environments and Effects Analysis Section WWW site:
http://www.estec.esa.nl/wmwww/WMA/

Workshop Secretariat

ESTEC Conference Bureau
P.O.Box 299
2200 AG, Noordwijk, NL

Tel.: +31 71 5655005
Fax: +31 71 5655658
confburo@estec.esa.nl

Final Programme  

Wednesday 11 November 1998

Opening Session

Effects and Users

Physical Processes/Presentation of Data

Models and Data

Thursday 12 November 1998

Models and Data (cont.)

Various World Wide Space Weather Initiatives

Friday 13 November 1998

Posters Session 1: Effects and Users

• Space Weather Effects Detected by GPS Based TEC Monitoring
  Jakowski, N.; Hocke, K.; Schlueter, S.; Heise, S.; DLR Neustrelitz, Germany
• SPENVIS: The SPace ENVironment Information System
  Heynderickx, D.*; Quaghebeur, B.*; Fontaine, B.*; Glover, A.****; Carey, W.C.***; Daly, E.J.**;
  * BIRA/IASB, Belgium;** ESA ESTEC, The Netherlands;*** Logica SA/NV, Belgium;**** Mullard Space Science Laboratory, Great Britain
• Monitoring Thermospheric Density Variations with the CHAMP Satellite
  Luehr, H.*; Reigber, C.*; Foerster, M.*; Koenig, R.*; Namgaladze, A.**; Yurik, R.Y.**;
  * GeoForschungsZentrum Potsdam, Germany;** Murmansk State University and Polar Geophys. Inst., Russia
• Primarily Flight Data Analysis of Spacecraft Charging from DIERA Patrol System at "Express-11" and "Gals-12"Russian Satellites
  Guselnikov, V.*; Prokopiev, U.*; Grafodatsky, O.S.**;
  * Novosibirsk State University, Russia;** NPO-PM, Russia;
• Prediction of Internal Dielectric Charging Using The DICTAT Code
  Rodgers, D.J.*; Ryden, K.A.*; Wrenn, G.L.*; Latham, P.M.*; Sorensen, J.***; Levy, L.**;
  * Defence Evaluation and Research Agency (DERA), Great Britain;** ONERA - DESP, France; *** ESA ESTEC, The Netherlands;**** T.S. Space Systems, Great Britain
• Backscatter Occurrence Statistics from the CUTLASS Radars as an Indicator of Space Weather Impact on High Latitude HF Radio Propagation
  Milan, S.E.; Lester, M.; Yeoman, T.K.; Thomas, E.C.; University of Leicester, Great Britain
• A Comparison Between the Ariel 4 Ambient Electron Densities and Ionospheric Critical Frequencies Over the Cost 251: Iits Area
  Tulunay, Y.*; Rothkaehl, H.**; Juchhykowsky, G.**; Stanislawska, I.**;
  * YTU Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Turkey; ** Space Research Center PAS, Poland
• Plasmapheric Effects on the Gps System: Modelling and Observation in UK
  Lunt, N.*; Kersley, L.*; Bailey, G.J.**; Bishop, G.J.***;
  * University of Wales, Great Britain; ** University of Sheffield, Great Britain;*** Air Force Research Laboratory VSBP, United States of America
• HF Radio Propagation at High Latitudes Under Quiet and Disturbed Geomagnetic Conditions
  Jacobsen, B.*; Jodalen, V.*; Cannon, P.**;
  * Norwegian Defense Research Establishment, Norway;** DERA, Great Britain;
• Deep Dielectric Charging Specification
  Fennell, J.F.; Koons, H.C.; Blake, J.B.; The Aerospace Corporation, United States of America
• The ISO Detectors and the Space Radiation Environment
  Heras, A.M.*; Burgdorf, M.*; Castaneda, H.*; Claret, A.**; Dzitko, H.**; Ewart, D.*; Gabriel, C.G.*;
  * ISO ESA, Villafranca Spain;** CEA/DSM/DAPNIA/SAP, France;
• The MicroSatellite DEMETER
  Parrot, M.; LPCE/CNRS, France
• Long-Term Data and Simulations on ISOCAM Long-Wave Detector Glitches
  Nieminen, P.; ESA ESTEC

Posters Session 2: Physical Processes/Presentation of Data

• SOHO LASCO and EIT -- A Space Weather Forecasting Observatory
  St. Cyr, O.C.; Howard, R.; Schwenn, R.; Brueckner, G.; Gurman, J; Thompson, B.J.; Michels, D.J.; Plunkett, S.P.; Paswaters, S.E.; and the LASCO and EIT teams; CPI/NRL, NASA GSFC, United States of America
• On the Propagation of Halo CMEs Towards Earth
  Schwenn, R.; Srivastava, N.; Podlipnik, B.; Inhester, B.; Stenborg, G.; Max-Planck-Institut f. Aeronomie, Germany
• Radial Evolution of a Coronal Mass Ejection
  Manoharan, P.K.; Radio Astronomy Centre (TIFR), India
• A Study of Geoeffective CME's Observed by LASCO on SOHO and Their Solar Origins
  Srivastava, N.; Schwenn, R.; Stenborg, G.; Inhester, B.; Podlipnik, B.; Max-Planck-Institut f. Aeronomie, Germany
• SuperDARN Radar Measurements of Ionospheric Convection in the High Latitude Ionosphere
  Provan, G.; Yeoman, T.K.; Lester, M.; University of Leicester, Great Britain
• The Solar Surveillance Program at the Kanzelhoehe Solar Observatory: New Facilities for High Speed Digital Imaging and Dynamic Event Tracking
  Messerotti, M.**; Otruba, W.***; Warmuth, A.*; Cacciani, A.****; Moretti, Pietro****; Hanslmeier, A.*; Steinegger, M.*;
  * Karl-Franzens Universitat Graz, Austria;**Astronomical Observatory, Italy; *** Sonnenobservatorium Kanzelhoehe, Austria;****University "La Sapienza", Italy
• Indexes of Cosmic Ray Disturbance as a Reflection of the Situation in the Interplanetary Medium
  Belov, A.V.*; Eroshenko, E.**; Klepach, E.*; Yanke, V.G.*;
  * IZMIRAN Russian Academy of Science, Russia; ** Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Russia
• Determination of the Solar UV Flux from SOHO and EISCAT Measurements
  Lilensten, J.*; Aboudarham, J.**;
  * LIS-ENSIEG, France;** IAS, France
• Observation of Radiation-Belts and Cosmic Rays with REM
  Daly, E.J.*; Buehler, P.**; Zehnder, A.** ; Desorgher, L.**;
  * ESA ESTEC, The Netherlands; ** Paul Scherrer Institute (PSI), Switzerland
• Evolution of the Filament/CH/Magnetic Field Complex
  Ioshpa, B.; Mogilevsky, E.I.; Obridko, V.; IZMIRAN Russian Academy of Science, Russia
• Cosmic Ray Event associated with the January 10, 1997 Magnetic Storm
  Storini, M.; Masseti, S.; Moreno, G.; Cordaro, E.G.; IFSI/CNR, Italy
• Solar Energetic Particle Events: A Tool to Model Particle Fluxes
  Lario, D.*; Sanahuja, B.**; Heras, A.M.*;
  *ESA ESTEC, The Netherlands; ** Univ. Barcelona, Spain
• Solar Radia Imaging and Space Weather
  Delouis, J.M.; Maia, D.; Kerdraon, A.; DASOP, France
• Monitoring of a shock wave propagation from the solar atmosphere to the Earth
  Mann, G.*; Aurass, H.*; Jansen, F.*; Thomson, B.**; Kaiser, M.**; Grafe, A.***;
  *Astrophysical Institute Potsdam, Germany; **NASA, USA; ***Observatory for Geomagnetism, Germany

Posters Session 3: Models and Data

• Preliminary Algorithm for Solar Proton Event Parameters Prediction
  Diaz, A.; Del Pozo, E.; Valiente, J.F.; Institute of Geophysics and Astronomy, Cuba
• Forecasting the Earth's Radiation Belt's of Energetic Electron Fluxes and Spectra
  Mineev, Yu.V.; Moscow State University, Russia
• Solar Particle Event--Real Time (SPERT): a Real-Time Solar Particle Event Exposure Analysis System
  Golightly, M.*; Weyland, M.D.**; Lin, T.**;
  *NASA Johnson Space Centre, United States of America; ** Lockheed Martin, United States of America
• A New Method for On-Board Measurement of Hot Magnetospheric Plasma at Geostationary Orbit
  Danilov, V.V.; Dvoryashin, V.; Elgin, B.; Laptev, S.; Krasnoyarsk State University, Russia
• Efficiency of Short-Term Prediction for the Main Solar Flares on the Basis of Long-Period of Microwave Radio Emission
  Fridman, V.; Sheiner, O.; Radiophysical Research Institute, Russia
• The Approach of Fuzzy Neural Networks For Geomagnetic Storm Predictions
  Andrejkova, G.*; Toth, H.*; Kudela, K.**;
  * P.J. Safarik University, Slovakia; ** Institute of Experimental Physics Slovak Academy, Slovakia
• Predictive Modelling of Outer Belt Electron Fluence
  Smith, R.J.K.; Rodgers, D.J.; Defence Evaluation and Research Agency (DERA), Great Britain
• The Geomagnetic Indices: Derivation, Availability, Meaning, and Uses in Space Weather Studies
  Menvielle, M.; ISGI, University of Paris, France
• The Role of Radio Tomography in Monitoring the Near-Earth Space Environment
  Mitchell, C.*; Kersley, L.*; Pryse, S.E.*; Walker, I.K.*; Cannon, P.**;
  *University of Wales, Great Britain;** DERA, Great Britain
• Forecasting of Radiation Conditions in the Earth's Magnetosphere and in The Interplanetary Space
  Pissarenko, N.F.; Moszhukhina, A.R.; Morozova, E.I.; Space Research Institute, Russia
• Artificial Neural Network Applying for the Space Radiation Environment Modelling and Forecasting
  Dmitriev, V; Orlov, Y.; Persiantsev, I.G.; Suvorova, I.G.; Veselovsky, I.; Moscow State University, Russia
• Near Real Time Forecasting of Dynamics of Large Scale Magnetic Field Configurations from Magnetograph Data
  Ponyavin, D.I.; University of St. Petersburg, Russia
• Real Time Space Weather Forecasting Based on Feature-Based Pattern Recognition
  Cargill, P.J.*; Chen, J.**; Palmadesso, P.J.**; Slinker, S.P.**;
  * The Blackett Laboratory, Great Britain; ** U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, United States of America
• Dynamic Modeling of the High Energy Proton Belt
  Boscher, D.*; Vacaresse, A.*; Bourdarie, S.*; Blanc, M.*; Sauvaud, J-A.**;
  * ONERA - DESP, France;** CESR/CNRS, France
• Physical Modeling of the Outer Belt High Energy Electrons: the Dynamics of the Recyclying Process
  Boscher, D.; Bourdarie, S.; Thorne, R.; Abel, B.; ONERA - DESP, France
• Radiation Dosimetry Measurements in HEO Orbit
  Blake, B.; Mazur, E.; The Aerospace Corporation, United States of America
• Novel Non-Linear Techniques for Temporal Predictions in Geophysical Time Series That Contain A Significant Number of Data Drop Outs
  Francis, N.M.*; Brown, A.*; Cannon, P.*; Broomhead, D.**;
  * DERA, Great Britain;** UMIST, Great Britain
• Space Weather-Related Magnetospheric Modeling at FMI/GEO
  Janhunen, P.; Toivanen, P.K.; Pulkkinen, T.I.; Koskinen, H.E.J.; Finnish Meteorological Inst., Finland
• Prediction of Times with Increased Risk of Internal charging on Spacecraft
  Andersson, L.; Swedish Institute of Space Physics, Sweden
• Plasma Flow Velocities Over Northern Scandinavia
  Nielsen, E.; Max Planck Institute for Aeronomie, Germany
• Consideration of Solar Activity in Models of the Current and Future Particulate Environment of the Earth
  Sdunnus, H.*; Bendisch, S.****; Klinkrad, H.***; Walker, R.**; Stokes, H.**;
  * Eta_Max Space, Germany; ** DERA, Great Britain;*** ESA/ESOC, Germany;**** Institute for Flight Mechanics and Spaceflight T., Germany
• Neural Network in Ionospheric Weather Research
  Cander, L.R.; Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Great Britain
• Analysis and Real-Time Prediction of Environmentally Induced Spacecraft Anomalies
  Wu, J.G.*; Lundstedt, H.**; Eliason, L.***; Hilgers, A.****;
  *DMI, Denmark; **Swedish Inst. Of Space Physics, Lund Sweden; ***Swedish Inst. Of Space Physics, Kiruna Sweden; ****ESTEC-ESA
• Predicting Maximum Amplitude of Solar Cycles Using Geomagnetic Precursors
  Lantos, P.; Richard, O.; Observatoire de Meudon, France
• 4D Imaging of the Ionosphere using GPS Data and an Application to Ionoshperic Calibration of Radar Altimeters
  Ruffini, G.; Flores, A.; Cardellach, E.; Cucurull, L.; Rius, A.; Institut dÉstudis Espacials de Catalunya, Spain

Posters Session 4: World-Wide Space Weather Initiatives

• Space Weather Services in Australia
  Thompson, R.; Cole, D.; Patterson, G.; Wilkinson, P.; IPS Radio and Space Services, Australia
• Lund Space Weather Program
  Lundstedt, H.*; Wintoft, P.*; Wu, J-G.**; Gleisner, H.*; Dovheden, V.*;
  * Lund Observatory, Sweden; ** Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark
• Monitoring of the Cosmic Ray in Real Time and Information System of the Moscow Station
  Belov, A.V.*; Belov, M.A.*; Gushchina, R.T.* ;Eroshenko, E.**; Kartyshev, V.G.*; Struminsky, A.B.*; Yanke, V.G.*;
  * IZMIRAN Russian Academy of Science, Russia;** Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Russia
• Multi-Point Magnetospheric Satellite Network for Space Weather Applications
  Cargill, P.J.*; Balogh, A.**; Schwartz, S.J.****; Fazakerley, A.N.***; Johnstone, A.D.***;
  * The Blackett Laboratory, Great Britain;** Imperial College of Science, Techn.& Medicine, Great Britain; *** Mullard Space Science Laboratory, Great Britain;**** Queen Mary and Westfield College, Great Britain
• Hugin and Munin: Autonomous, Low Cost, Space Weather Nanosatellites
  Norberg, O.*; Barabash, S.*; Andersson, L.*; Eklund, U.*; Winningham, J.D.***; Lindblad, T.**;
  * Swedish Institute of Space Physics, Sweden;** Royal Institute of Technology, Sweden;*** Southwest Research Institute, United States of America
• Solar and Geomagnetic Activity During Solar Cycle 23
  Thomson, A.W.P.*; Thompson, R.**; Joselyn, J.***;
  * British Geological Survey, Great Britain; ** IPS Radio and Space Services, Australia;*** Space Environment Center, United States of America
• Interplanetary Scintillation and Space Weather Monitoring
  Hapgood, M.; Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Great Britain
• Space Weather Research at the Ondrejov Observatory
  Karlicky, M.; Vandas, M.; Odstrcil, D.; Jiricka, K.; Knizek, M.; Meszarosova, H.; Vanek, T.; Zloch, F.; Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Czech Republic
• Three Instruments for Monitoring the Space Radiation Evironment
  Mohammadzadeh, A.; Nickson, R.; Harboe Sorensen, R.S.; ESA ESTEC, The Netherlands
• Coordinated Src and Ral Centers for Ionospheric Weather Specification and Forecasting
  Stanislawska, I.*; Cander, L.R.**;
  *Space Research Center PAS, Poland; **CLRC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Great Britain
• Activities of the ISES Meudon Warning Center
  Lantos, P.; Gapihan, J.; Landrot, Y.; Observatoire de Meudon, France
• ESA Space Weather Initiatives in the Space Environments and Effects Analysis Section (TOS-EMA)
  Crosby, N.; Hilgers, A; Daly, E.; ESA ESTEC
• Space Weather Activities at Danish Meteorological Institute
  Wu, J.-G.; Neubert, T.; Stauning, P.; Thejll, P.; Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark
  

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